Thesis Institute · policy futures

Forecasts on every consequential cell of government data

Thesis provides three types of forecasts: government statistics, policy states (like the federal minimum wage), and conditional forecasts given different policy states. The audit trails, data, and everything else are visible.

How forecasts are generated

Published forecasts have successful recorded runs, validated outputs, and matching activity artifacts. Open a forecast to read its analysis and inspect the underlying run records. Prototype estimates and failure fallbacks are excluded.