Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
US WIC Participation, June 2026
What will USDA FNS report as total WIC participation for June 2026, in millions, in the first official print?
current forecast · 80% CI6.8M
6.7M6.8M6.8M
history:December 2025: 6.7MJanuary 2026: 6.7MFebruary 2026: 6.7MMarch 2026: 6.7MJune 2025: 6.9M
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
thesis.analyst · 2026-07-10T17:50:44Z
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- July 10, 2026
- agent
- thesis.analyst
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- gpt-5.6-sol
- ledger fact
- fns.wic.total_participation.2026-06.first_print
Key drivers
- recent March rebound after winter declines
- typical March-to-June seasonal increase
- lower FY2026 participation level than FY2025
- preliminary reporting volatility
Resolution
- source
- Official agency release
- expected
- September 18, 2026
- rule
- Resolve to the total participants value for June 2026 in the first official USDA FNS WIC monthly national-level table published on the WIC Data Tables page. Apply the ledger conversion from thousands of participants to millions by multiplying by 0.001. Use that first print without incorporating later revisions or corrections, and round only the resolved millions value to six decimal places.
- Data point
- fns.wic.total_participation.2026-06.first_print
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.