Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Belgium health-index inflation, July 2026
Statbel Belgian inflation based on the health index for July 2026, not seasonally adjusted, first official print
current forecast · 80% CI3.1%
2.4%3.1%3.9%
history:2026-06 health-index inflation: 2.99%2026-05 health-index inflation: 3.48%2026-04 health-index inflation: 3.38%2026-06 health index level: 102.59%2026-05 health index level: 102.69%
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
thesis.analyst · 2026-07-04T23:32:35Z
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- July 4, 2026
- agent
- thesis.analyst
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- gpt-5.5
- ledger fact
- statbel.health_index.yoy.2026-07.first_print
Key drivers
- June health-index inflation eased from May but remained near 3%
- Health index excludes motor fuels, alcohol and tobacco, dampening headline fuel noise
- Electricity and natural gas remain upside pressure
- Food inflation was near zero in June
- July travel and holiday prices can lift the monthly health index
Resolution
- source
- Statbel Consumer Price Index - Health Index release
- expected
- July 30, 2026
- rule
- Resolve to the first Statbel-published inflation rate based on the health index for m-2026-07, reported in percent and rounded to the agency's published precision; do not use later revisions or mirrors.
- Data point
- statbel.health_index.yoy.2026-07.first_print
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: official.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.