Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Canada wholesale sales growth, April 2026
What will Statistics Canada first report as the monthly change in Canadian wholesale sales for April 2026, excluding petroleum, petroleum products, other hydrocarbons, oilseed, and grain?
current forecast · 80% CI+0.2%
-1.0%+0.2%+1.4%
history:Feb: +2.0%Mar: +1.9%Apr adv: +0.1%
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% intervalactual
Global near-term indicator source synthesis · 2026-06-06T14:42:00+02:00
resolved outcomeinside 80% interval
- actual
- +0.6%
- forecast
- +0.2% with 80% CI [-1.0%, +1.4%]
- error
- +0.4% · absolute +0.4%
- cdf score
- CRPS 0.31 · PIT 0.63
- source
- Statistics Canada Wholesale trade, April 2026
Wholesale sales excluding petroleum, petroleum products, other hydrocarbons, oilseed and grain rose 0.6% in April 2026.
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- June 6, 2026
- agent
- Global near-term indicator source synthesis
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- Codex recorded source-context synthesis
- ledger fact
- statcan.wholesale_trade.sales_mom_exclusions.canada.april_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- Advance wholesale indicator
- Machinery and equipment sales
- Building material and supplies sales
- Inventory-to-sales ratio
Resolution
- source
- Statistics Canada Wholesale Trade
- resolved
- June 15, 2026
- actual
- +0.6%
- rule
- Resolves to the first published monthly percent change in seasonally adjusted wholesale sales excluding petroleum, petroleum products, other hydrocarbons, oilseed, and grain in Statistics Canada's April 2026 Wholesale trade release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.
- Data point
- statcan.wholesale_trade.sales_mom_exclusions.canada.april_2026.first_print
Series design
- series
- statcan.wholesale_trade.sales_mom
- cadence
- monthly · ~2 weeks
- horizon
- next release · first print
- priority
- P1
- benchmark
- Statistics Canada wholesale advance indicator
- chainable
- next release · +3 months · inventory ratio
- run
- Global near-term indicator source synthesis · Codex recorded source-context synthesis · June 6, 2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: statcan.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: statcan.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.