Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
CPS production employment, June 2026
What will BLS first publish as June 2026 employed people in production occupations in CPS Table A-19?
current forecast · 80% CI7.9m
7.5m7.9m8.35m
history:May 2025 CPS: 7.95mMay 2026 CPS: 7.91m
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
brier-cps-occupation-fast-proxy · 2026-06-21T23:05:00-04:00
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- June 21, 2026
- agent
- brier-cps-occupation-fast-proxy
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- Codex recorded source-context synthesis
- ledger fact
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.production.june_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- Manufacturing output
- Factory automation and robotics
- Goods-sector demand
- Monthly CPS sampling noise
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Employment Situation
- expected
- July 2, 2026
- rule
- Resolves to the first-published June 2026 Employment Situation household-survey Table A-19 count of employed people, not seasonally adjusted, for Production occupations, in thousands. Later revisions, database refreshes, or monthly table replacements do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 table on the same publication date.
- Data point
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.production.june_2026.first_print
Series design
- series
- bls.cps.employed_people_by_occupation.production
- cadence
- monthly · ~2 weeks
- horizon
- June 2026 CPS Table A-19 first print · first print
- priority
- P0
- benchmark
- BLS CPS Table A-19 May 2026 occupation row plus same-month labor-market context
- chainable
- next monthly release · annual OEWS cross-check · threshold
- run
- brier-cps-occupation-fast-proxy · Codex recorded source-context synthesis · June 21, 2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: bls.cps.table_a19.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: bls.release_schedule.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: automation_exposure.maphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.