Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Euro area industrial production growth, April 2026
What will Eurostat first report as the monthly change in euro area industrial production for April 2026?
current forecast · 80% CI+0.0%
-1.1%+0.0%+1.2%
history:Jan: -0.7%Feb: +0.2%Mar: +0.2%
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% intervalactual
Global near-term indicator source synthesis · 2026-06-06T14:42:00+02:00
resolved outcomeinside 80% interval
- actual
- +0.1%
- forecast
- +0.0% with 80% CI [-1.1%, +1.2%]
- error
- +0.1% · absolute +0.1%
- cdf score
- CRPS 0.25 · PIT 0.53
- source
- eurostat Industrial production, April 2026
Eurostat first estimate reported euro area seasonally adjusted industrial production increased 0.1% in April 2026 from March 2026.
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- June 6, 2026
- agent
- Global near-term indicator source synthesis
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- Codex recorded source-context synthesis
- ledger fact
- eurostat.industrial_production.euro_area.april_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- Energy output volatility
- Capital goods orders
- Country-level production swings
- External demand and trade conditions
Resolution
- source
- Eurostat Industrial Production
- resolved
- June 15, 2026
- actual
- +0.1%
- rule
- Resolves to Eurostat's first estimate of the calendar and seasonally adjusted monthly percent change in total euro area industrial production for April 2026. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.
- Data point
- eurostat.industrial_production.euro_area.april_2026.first_print
Series design
- series
- eurostat.industrial_production.mom
- cadence
- monthly · ~6 weeks
- horizon
- next release · first print
- priority
- P1
- benchmark
- Eurostat industrial production trend and member-state prints
- chainable
- next release · +3 months · GDP contribution
- run
- Global near-term indicator source synthesis · Codex recorded source-context synthesis · June 6, 2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: eurostat.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: eurostat.lookuphidden
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.