Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Initial jobless claims, week ending Jun 6 2026
How many seasonally adjusted initial unemployment insurance claims will the Department of Labor report for the week ending June 6, 2026?
current forecast · 80% CI214k
197k214k233k
history:4wk avg: 209kMay 23: 215kMay 16: 210kMay 9: 212k
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% intervalactual
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
resolved outcomeinside 80% interval
- actual
- 229k
- forecast
- 214k with 80% CI [197k, 233k]
- error
- +15k · absolute 15k
- cdf score
- CRPS 8.56 · PIT 0.82
- source
- dol Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims, week ending June 6, 2026
Advance SA initial claims 229k for week ending Jun 6 (FRED ICSA confirms 229k); recorded point 214.
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- dol.eta.initial_claims.sa.week_ending_2026_06_06
Key drivers
- Layoff notices
- Holiday-adjustment noise
- Continuing-claims drift
- Consensus benchmark spread
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Department of Labor, Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims
- resolved
- June 11, 2026
- actual
- 229k
- rule
- Resolves to the first published seasonally adjusted initial claims count for the week ending June 6, 2026 in the Department of Labor weekly claims release. Later revisions do not change the resolved value.
- Data point
- dol.eta.initial_claims.sa.week_ending_2026_06_06
Series design
- series
- dol.eta.initial_claims.sa
- cadence
- weekly · ~5 days
- horizon
- next release · first print
- priority
- P0
- benchmark
- Published consensus survey medians
- chainable
- next release · +4 weeks · threshold
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
§
▸ recorded source check: dol.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: consensus.lookuphidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.