Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Median household income, 2026
What will the real (2026 dollars) median household income for the United States be in calendar year 2026, as published in the Census ASEC?
current forecast · 80% CI$81,200
$79,100$81,200$83,400
history:2022: $77,5402023: $80,6102024: $80,1002025e: $80,600
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- census.asec.median_household_income.2026
Key drivers
- Real wage growth
- Employment-to-population ratio
- Household composition shifts
- Top-end income trajectory
Resolution
- source
- Census ASEC (Current Population Survey)
- expected
- September 15, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to the real median household income for 2026 as published in the Census income report, expressed in 2026 dollars.
- Data point
- census.asec.median_household_income.2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
§
§
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
§
▸ recorded source check: cbo.lookuphidden
§
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.