Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Massachusetts Medicaid ex parte renewal share, August 2026
What share of completed Medicaid renewals in Massachusetts will be processed on an ex parte basis in the August 2026 reporting period, per the CMS eligibility processing dataset?
current forecast · 80% CI77.4%
63.5%77.4%91.3%
history:07/25: 79.3%09/25: 77.8%11/25: 82.5%01/26: 84.6%
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ma.aug_2026
Key drivers
- Data-matching coverage across wage, SNAP, and vital records sources
- Eligibility system modernization and vendor release schedules
- Renewal cohort composition month to month
- CMS renewal-policy requirements and state compliance plans
Resolution
- source
- CMS, State Medicaid and CHIP Eligibility Processing Data (data.medicaid.gov)
- expected
- December 15, 2026
- rule
- Resolves to Massachusetts's ex parte renewal share for the August 2026 reporting period, computed from the original (O) submission row in CMS dataset 5abea2e0-3f8e-4b49-a50d-d63d5fd9103c when CMS first publishes it (expected roughly three to four months after the period). Numerator and denominator as published; share computed to one decimal.
- Data point
- cms.medicaid_pi.ex_parte_renewal_share.ma.aug_2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: cms.lookuphidden
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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.