Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
National School Lunch participation, SY2026-27
What will average daily participation in the National School Lunch Program be in school year 2026-27?
current forecast · 80% CI30.4M
28.8M30.4M32.3M
history:SY2018-19: 29.6MSY2021-22: 30.1MSY2023-24: 28.9MSY2025-26e: 30M
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- usda.fns.nslp.average_daily_participation.sy2026_27
Key drivers
- School enrollment
- Community eligibility adoption
- Meal price and reimbursement policy
- State universal-meals policies
Resolution
- source
- USDA Food and Nutrition Service child nutrition data tables
- expected
- March 31, 2028
- rule
- Resolves to average daily participation in the National School Lunch Program for school year 2026-27, in millions of students, using the first USDA FNS annual child nutrition table that reports the school-year total.
- Data point
- usda.fns.nslp.average_daily_participation.sy2026_27
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: usda.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.