Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
Federal Pell Grant outlays, FY2027
How much will the federal government spend on Federal Pell Grants during fiscal year 2027?
current forecast · 80% CI$34.5B
$28B$34.5B$43B
history:FY2019: $28.2BFY2021: $26BFY2023: $29.6BFY2025e: $33B
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- ed.pell.outlays.fy2027
Key drivers
- Maximum Pell award
- Recipient count
- FAFSA simplification take-up
- Discretionary and mandatory funding rules
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Department of Education Federal Student Aid and budget data
- expected
- June 30, 2028
- rule
- Resolves to Federal Pell Grant program outlays or obligations for FY2027, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official Department of Education Federal Student Aid annual report, budget justification, or Pell Grant program data table that reports fiscal-year spending.
- Data point
- ed.pell.outlays.fy2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: education.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.