Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
SNAP average monthly participation, FY2027
How many people will participate in SNAP in an average month of fiscal year 2027?
current forecast · 80% CI40.6M
37.4M40.6M44.1M
history:FY2021: 41.5MFY2022: 41.2MFY2023: 42.1MFY2024: 41.7M
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- fns.snap.average_monthly_persons.fy2027
Key drivers
- Low-income population
- Administrative recertification churn
- Benefit adequacy and take-up
- Employment and wage growth
Resolution
- source
- USDA FNS SNAP Data Tables
- expected
- March 31, 2028
- rule
- Resolves to average monthly SNAP persons for FY2027, in millions, using the first USDA FNS national annual participation table that includes all months of fiscal year 2027.
- Data point
- fns.snap.average_monthly_persons.fy2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: fns.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.