Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
SNAP benefit outlays, FY2027
What will federal SNAP benefit outlays be in fiscal year 2027, in nominal dollars?
current forecast · 80% CI$128B
$116B$128B$143B
history:FY2021: $108BFY2022: $119BFY2023: $113BFY2024: $100BFY2026e: $121B
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- usda.fns.snap.benefit_outlays.fy2027
Key drivers
- Food-at-home inflation
- Caseload and unemployment
- Farm Bill benefit rules
- State administrative churn
Resolution
- source
- USDA FNS and Monthly Treasury Statement
- expected
- November 30, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to federal SNAP benefit outlays for FY2027, excluding administrative costs, in billions of nominal dollars, using the first official USDA FNS or Treasury fiscal-year table that identifies SNAP benefits.
- Data point
- usda.fns.snap.benefit_outlays.fy2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
▸ recorded source check: usda.lookuphidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.