Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
SNAP cumulative redemptions, FY2026
What will total SNAP benefit redemptions be in fiscal year 2026 according to USDA Food and Nutrition Service program data?
current forecast · 80% CI$111.5B
$103B$111.5B$122B
history:FY2021: $112.6BFY2022: $119.4BFY2023: $112.8BFY2024: $100.1BFY2025e: $106B
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- usda.fns.snap.benefit_redemptions.fy2026
Key drivers
- Average monthly participation
- Thrifty Food Plan indexation
- Household income and deductions
- Emergency-allotment aftereffects
Resolution
- source
- USDA Food and Nutrition Service, SNAP national level annual summary
- expected
- January 31, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to the fiscal year 2026 total SNAP benefit redemption amount in USDA FNS national-level annual summary data. If USDA reports issuance and redemption separately, the redemption amount governs.
- Data point
- usda.fns.snap.benefit_redemptions.fy2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
§
▸ recorded source check: usda.fns.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.