Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
SNAP participation, Apr 2026
How many people will participate in SNAP on average in April 2026 according to USDA Food and Nutrition Service monthly data?
current forecast · 80% CI40.8M
39.5M40.8M42.2M
history:Oct: 41.2MNov: 41.1MDec: 40.9MJan: 40.7M
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- usda.fns.snap.persons.april_2026
Key drivers
- Unemployment and underemployment
- Recertification churn
- Benefit adequacy
- State administrative processing
Resolution
- source
- USDA Food and Nutrition Service, SNAP national monthly data
- expected
- August 31, 2026
- rule
- Resolves to the April 2026 average monthly SNAP persons count in USDA FNS national program data. If USDA updates the monthly table, the first version available by August 31, 2026 governs.
- Data point
- usda.fns.snap.persons.april_2026
Series design
- series
- usda.fns.snap.persons
- cadence
- monthly · ~2 months
- horizon
- +3 months · fixed vintage
- priority
- P0
- benchmark
- PolicyEngine eligibility/take-up prior
- chainable
- next release · +3 months · +12 months · threshold
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: usda.fns.lookuphidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.