Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.
US aerospace products employment, June 2026
What will BLS first report as seasonally adjusted aerospace product and parts manufacturing employment for June 2026?
current forecast · 80% CI589k
583k589k596k
history:Jun 2025: 567kDec 2025: 578kFeb 2026: 580kApr 2026: 585k
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
brier-defense-public-data · 2026-06-29T14:35:00+01:00
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- June 29, 2026
- agent
- brier-defense-public-data
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- model
- Codex recorded source-context synthesis
- ledger fact
- bls.ces.aerospace_product_and_parts_employment.june_2026.first_print
Key drivers
- Aircraft and missile backlog
- Defense procurement timing
- Commercial aerospace cycle
- Skilled manufacturing labor supply
Resolution
- source
- U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics
- expected
- July 2, 2026
- rule
- Resolves to the first-published June 2026 BLS CES all-employees value for CES3133640001 (Aerospace product and parts manufacturing), seasonally adjusted, in thousands of workers. Later benchmark revisions, seasonal-factor updates, or database refreshes do not change the resolved value unless BLS replaces the first July 2, 2026 release on that publication date.
- Data point
- bls.ces.aerospace_product_and_parts_employment.june_2026.first_print
Series design
- series
- bls.ces.aerospace_product_and_parts_employment
- cadence
- monthly · 2 days
- horizon
- next Employment Situation release · first print
- priority
- P0
- benchmark
- Last-print persistence and recent CES manufacturing momentum
- chainable
- next release · +3 months · shipbuilding comparison
- run
- brier-defense-public-data · Codex recorded source-context synthesis · June 29, 2026
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
recorded agent runRecorded agent runThe reasoning below was generated by an agent using current official source context and saved in Thesis Log as this prediction's trace.
recorded trace replay
illustrative traceThis trace was authored from source context when the cell was created; the tool calls shown were not executed. Runs from June 28, 2026 onward replay archived activity from the public records.
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▸ illustrative step: bls.public_apiauthored, not executed
▸ illustrative step: brier.public_series_inventoryauthored, not executed
This page shows a recorded agent run: the prediction was generated by an agent using current official source context, then saved into Thesis Log with its distribution, resolution rule, and trace.