Government dataForecast cell on a published government data point.

WIC child participation, FY2026

How many children will participate in WIC on average each month in fiscal year 2026 according to USDA FNS data?

current forecast · 80% CI3.9M
3.6M3.9M4.2M
history:FY2020: 3.3MFY2021: 3.4MFY2022: 3.6MFY2023: 3.8MFY2024e: 3.9M

Trend

history + forecast
3.23.63.94.3FY2020FY2024eJan 20273.9M
historyforecast path80% interval

static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value

recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
record
prototype seed
agent
prototype seed
distribution
201 CDF points
ledger fact
usda.fns.wic.child_participation.fy2026

Key drivers

  • Child eligibility and certification
  • State outreach and remote recertification
  • Food-package attractiveness
  • Birth cohort size

Resolution

source
USDA Food and Nutrition Service, WIC program data by participant category
expected
January 31, 2027
rule
Resolves to the average monthly number of child participants in WIC during fiscal year 2026 in USDA FNS program data. Infant and pregnant/postpartum/breastfeeding participant categories are excluded.
Data point
usda.fns.wic.child_participation.fy2026

Analyst agent · reasoning trace

static mock
Static mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay

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recorded source check: usda.fns.lookuphidden
recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden

The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.

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