PolicyForecast cell on a formal policy setting or encoded parameter.

Child Tax Credit maximum, TY2027

What will the maximum Child Tax Credit per qualifying child be for tax year 2027, resolving whether it exceeds $2,250?

current forecast · 80% CI$2,300
$2,200$2,300$2,500
history:TY2021: $3,000TY2025: $2,000TY2026: $2,200

Trend

history + forecast
$1,840$2,280$2,720$3,160TY2021TY2026Oct 2026$2,300
historyforecast path80% interval

static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value

recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
record
prototype seed
agent
prototype seed
distribution
201 CDF points
ledger fact
irs.irc24.child_tax_credit.maximum.ty2027

Key drivers

  • Statutory credit amount
  • Inflation indexing
  • IRS rounding
  • Legislative amendments

Resolution

source
IRS annual tax inflation adjustments and IRC section 24
expected
October 31, 2026
rule
Resolves to the first official IRS tax year 2027 inflation-adjustment guidance for the IRC section 24 maximum Child Tax Credit per qualifying child. If Congress changes the statutory amount before the guidance takes effect, the first IRS guidance implementing that law governs.
Data point
irs.irc24.child_tax_credit.maximum.ty2027
Policy parameter
irs.irc24.child_tax_credit.maximum.ty2027

Series design

series
irs.irc24.child_tax_credit.maximum
cadence
annual · ~4 months
horizon
threshold · first print
priority
P1
benchmark
IRS inflation-adjustment guidance
chainable
threshold · +12 months · poverty impact

Analyst agent · reasoning trace

static mock
Static mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay

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recorded source check: irs.lookuphidden

The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.

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