PolicyForecast cell on a formal policy setting or encoded parameter.
CTC monthly maximum per child, TY2027
What will the maximum federal Child Tax Credit per qualifying child be in tax year 2027, on a monthly equivalent basis?
current forecast · 80% CI$183/mo
$83/mo$183/mo$250/mo
history:2021: $300/mo2022: $167/mo2024: $167/mo2025: $167/mo2026e: $167/mo
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
Key drivers
- TCJA permanence package status
- Refundability provisions in extension bill
- Bipartisan child-credit deal trajectory
Resolution
- source
- Internal Revenue Code §24 as enacted
- expected
- April 15, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to the maximum federal CTC per qualifying child in effect for TY2027, divided by 12. Resolution snapshot is taken as of the IRS Form 1040 instructions published for TY2027 returns (April 2028).
- Policy parameter
- irc.24.maximum_per_child.2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: axiom.queryhidden
▸ recorded source check: axiom.queryhidden
▸ recorded source check: axiom.queryhidden
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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.