PolicyForecast cell on a formal policy setting or encoded parameter.
Refundable CTC amount, TY2027
What will the maximum refundable portion of the federal Child Tax Credit be per qualifying child in tax year 2027?
current forecast · 80% CI$1,800
$1,000$1,800$2,500
history:TY2021: $3,000TY2022: $1,500TY2024: $1,700TY2025e: $1,700
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
Key drivers
- TCJA extension package
- Refundability politics
- Inflation indexation
- Budget score of low-income family provisions
Resolution
- source
- Internal Revenue Code section 24 and IRS instructions
- expected
- December 31, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to the maximum refundable federal Child Tax Credit amount per qualifying child for TY2027, using IRC section 24 and the first IRS Form 1040 instructions or inflation-adjusted tax parameter release that identifies the refundable amount.
- Policy parameter
- irc.24.refundable_amount_per_child.2027
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: axiom.queryhidden
▸ recorded source check: axiom.queryhidden
▸ recorded source check: policyengine.simulatehidden
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The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.