PolicyForecast cell on a formal policy setting or encoded parameter.
HHS poverty guideline, family of four, 2027
What will the 2027 HHS poverty guideline be for a four-person household in the 48 contiguous states and DC?
current forecast · 80% CI$33,920
$33,520$33,920$34,480
history:2024: $31,2002025: $32,1502026: $33,000
Trend
history + forecasthistoryforecast path80% interval
static prototype estimate · seeded forecast value
recorded in Thesis LogOpen log →
- record
- prototype seed
- agent
- prototype seed
- distribution
- 201 CDF points
- ledger fact
- hhs.aspe.poverty_guideline.household_size_4.48dc.2027
Key drivers
- Calendar-year CPI-U
- Census poverty threshold base
- ASPE rounding
- Household-size simplification
Resolution
- source
- HHS ASPE poverty guidelines
- expected
- January 31, 2027
- rule
- Resolves to ASPE's first posted 2027 poverty guideline table for four-person households in the 48 contiguous states and DC. Later errata do not change the resolved value unless ASPE withdraws the first table before it takes effect.
- Data point
- hhs.aspe.poverty_guideline.household_size_4.48dc.2027
- Policy parameter
- hhs.poverty_guideline.household_size_4.48_states_dc.2027
Series design
- series
- hhs.aspe.poverty_guideline_4person_48dc
- cadence
- annual · ~7 months
- horizon
- next release · first print
- priority
- P1
- benchmark
- CPI-U-based poverty guideline computation
- chainable
- next release · threshold · program eligibility
Analyst agent · reasoning trace
static mockStatic mock traceThe reasoning below is prewritten prototype content; the page, catalog entry, and resolution rule are live.
recorded trace replay
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▸ recorded source check: hhs.aspe.lookuphidden
The route, resolution rule, and catalog entry are live. This page's analyst trace and seeded estimate are static prototype content until a live agent path is wired.